The number of transactions on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) declined in May compared to what is typical for this time of year in Metro Vancouver. This shift has allowed the inventory of homes available for sale to continue to accumulate with over 13,000 homes now actively listed on the MLS® in the region.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,733 in May 2024, a 19.9 per cent decrease from the 3,411 sales recorded in May 2023. Last month’s sales total was also down 19.6 per cent from the 10-year seasonal average for May (3,398).

“The surprise in the May data is that sales have come in softer than what we’d typically expect to see at this point in the year, while the number of newly listed homes for sale is carrying some of the momentum seen in the April data,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “It’s a natural inclination to chalk these trends up to one factor or another, but what we’re seeing is a culmination of factors influencing buyer and seller decisions in the market right now. It’s everything from higher borrowing costs, to worries about the economy, to policy interventions imposed by various levels of government.”

There were 6,374 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver in May 2024. This represents a 12.6 per cent increase compared to the 5,661 properties listed in May 2023 and a seven per cent increase compared to the 10-year seasonal average (5,958).

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 13,600, a 46.3 per cent increase compared to May 2023 (9,293). This total is also up 19.9 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,344).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2024 is 20.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 16.8 per cent for detached homes, 25.1 per cent for attached, and 22.5 per cent for apartment properties.

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“With market trends now tilting back toward more balanced conditions, as the number of new listings outpaces the number of sales, we should expect to see slower price growth over the coming months,” Lis said. “Up until recently, prices were climbing modestly across all market segments. But with rising inventory levels and softening demand, buyers who’ve been waiting for an opportunity might have more luck this summer, even if borrowing costs remain elevated.”

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,212,000. This represents a 2.3 per cent increase over May 2023 and a 0.5 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

Sales of detached homes in May 2024 reached 846, an 18.9 per cent decrease from the 1,043 detached sales recorded in May 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,062,600. This represents a 5.9 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 1.3 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,338 in May 2024, a 22.7 per cent decrease compared to the 1,730 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $776,200. This represents a 2.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to April 2024.

Attached home sales in May 2024 totalled 523, a 14 per cent decrease compared to the 608 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,145,600. This represents a 5.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

The number of Metro Vancouver homes listed for sale on the MLS® rose nearly 23 per cent year-over-year, providing more opportunity for buyers looking for a home this spring.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,415 in March 2024, a 4.7 per cent decrease from the 2,535 sales recorded in March 2023. This was 31.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (3,512).

“If you’re finding the weather a little chillier than last spring, you may find some comfort in knowing that the market isn’t quite as hot as it was last spring either, particularly if you’re a buyer,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “Despite the welcome increase in inventory, the overall market balance continues inching deeper into sellers’ market territory, which suggests demand remains strong for well-priced and well-located properties.”

There were 5,002 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in March 2024. This represents a 15.9 per cent increase compared to the 4,317 properties listed in March 2023. This was 9.5 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (5,524).

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 10,552, a 22.5 per cent increase compared to March 2023 (8,617). This is 6.3 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (9,923).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for March 2024 is 23.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 18.2 per cent for detached homes, 31.3 per cent for attached, and 25.8 per cent for apartments.

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“Even though the market isn’t quite as hot as it was last year, we’re still seeing modest month-over-month price gains of one to two per cent happening at the aggregate level, which is an interesting dynamic given that borrowing costs remain elevated,” Lis said. “With the latest inflation numbers trending in the right direction, it remains likely that we’ll see at least one or two modest cuts to the Bank of Canada’s policy rate in 2024, but even if these cuts come, they may not provide the boost to affordability many had been hoping for. As a result, we expect constrained borrowing power to remain a challenging headwind as we move into the summer months.”

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,196,800. This represents a 4.5 per cent increase over March 2023 and a 1.1 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Sales of detached homes in March 2024 reached 694, a 5.4 per cent decrease from the 734 detached sales recorded in March 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,007,900. This represents a 7.4 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 1.8 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,207 in March 2024, a 7.9 per cent decrease compared to the 1,311 sales in March 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $777,500. This represents a 5.7 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Attached home sales in March 2024 totalled 495, a 6.2 per cent increase compared to the 466 sales in March 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,112,800. This represents a 5 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 1.7 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Are you considering selling your home in Vancouver? As seasoned real estate agents, We understand the importance of timing when it comes to listing a property for sale. The Vancouver real estate market can be influenced by various factors, including seasonality and economic trends. In this article, we'll dive into the intricacies of the Vancouver market and explore the optimal time to sell your home.

Understanding Seasonality

Seasonality plays a significant role in the Vancouver real estate market. Traditionally, the spring and summer months have been considered the peak selling seasons. During this time, the weather is pleasant, and potential buyers are more active in their search for a new home. The increased demand can often lead to higher selling prices and faster sales.

On the other hand, the fall and winter months tend to be slower in terms of real estate activity. The colder weather and holiday season can cause a decline in buyer interest. However, this doesn't mean you should avoid selling your home during these months. In fact, selling during the off-peak season can have its advantages, such as less competition from other sellers and more serious buyers who are actively looking for a home.

Economic Factors

Economic trends can also influence the optimal time to sell your home in Vancouver. Factors such as interest rates, employment rates, and market stability can impact buyer confidence and purchasing power. It's essential to stay informed about the current economic climate and consult with a knowledgeable real estate team who can provide insights into the market conditions.

Local Market Conditions

While seasonality and economic factors are essential considerations, it's crucial to analyze the local market conditions specific to Vancouver. The real estate market can vary from neighborhood to neighborhood, and even street to street. Factors such as supply and demand, inventory levels, and recent sales data can give you a better understanding of the current market activity in your area. As seasoned Vancouver realtors with expertise in your neighborhood we can provide valuable guidance in this regard. Let us guide you to a successful outcome.

Consult with Andrew and Jill Hasman

When deciding on the best time to sell your home in Vancouver, it's always recommended to consult with a trusted real estate professional. As seasoned agents with specialized expertise in the Vancouver market we can analyze the unique factors affecting your property's value and guide you through the sales process. We can provide data-driven insights, devise effective marketing strategies, and negotiate on your behalf to maximize your selling price.

Determining the best time to sell your home in Vancouver requires careful consideration of seasonality, economic trends, and local market conditions. By understanding these factors you can make an informed decision that will help you achieve your selling goals. Whether you choose to sell during the peak season or explore opportunities in the off-peak months, remember that a well-executed selling strategy combined with our real estate expertise will make a significant difference in your selling experience.

Bottom line, while considering the intricacies of the Vancouver real estate market is important, it's crucial to remember that your personal circumstances should ultimately dictate the timing of your home sale. External factors may influence the market, but your family's needs and goals should take precedence. So, take into account the advice and insights provided, but make a decision that aligns with what is right for you and your family.

VANCOUVER, BC – November 2, 2023 – An increase in newly listed properties is providing more choice to home buyers across Metro Vancouver1, but sales remain below long-term averages.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential sales2 in the region totalled 1,996 in October 2023, a 3.7 per cent increase from the 1,924 sales recorded in October 2022. This total is 29.5 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (2,832) for October.

“With properties coming to market at a rate roughly five per cent above the ten-year seasonal average, there seems to be a continuation of the renewed interest on the part of sellers to participate in the market that we’ve been watching this fall,” Andrew Lis, REBGV’s director of economics and data analytics said. “Counterbalancing this increase in supply, however, is the fact sales remain almost 30 per cent below their ten-year seasonal average, which tells us demand is not as strong as we might expect this time of year.”

There were 4,664 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in October 2023. This represents a 15.4 per cent increase compared to the 4,043 properties listed in October 2022 and is 4.8 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (4,449) for the month.

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 11,599, a 12.6 per cent increase compared to October 2022 (10,305). This change is also 0.6 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,526).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for October 2023 is 17.9 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 12.9 per cent for detached homes, 20.9 per cent for attached, and 21.5 per cent for apartments.

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“With more supply in the form of resale inventory, and weaker demand in the form of slower sales, we’ve seen market conditions overall adjust towards more balanced conditions. It’s noteworthy that the multifamily segment remains more active than the detached segment at this time,” Lis said. “While the highest borrowing costs we’ve seen in over a decade continue to constrain affordability, a silver lining for buyers is that price increases have abated with these more balanced market conditions, meaning purchasing power is holding steady for the moment.”

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,196,500. This represents a 4.4 per cent increase over October 2022 and a 0.6 per cent decrease compared to September 2023

Sales of detached homes in October 2023 reached 577, a 0.7 per cent decrease from the 581 detached sales recorded in October 2022. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,001,400. This represents a 5.8 per cent increase from October 2022 and a 0.8 per cent decrease compared to September 2023.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,044 in October 2023, a 4.9 per cent increase compared to the 995 sales in October 2022. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $770,200. This represents a 6.4 per cent increase from October 2022 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to September 2023.

Attached home sales in October 2023 totalled 356, a 6.6 per cent increase compared to the 334 sales in October 2022. The benchmark price of a townhouse3 is $1,100,500. This represents a 6 per cent increase from October 2022 and a 0.2 per cent increase compared to September 2023.

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